London, UK – The agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia showed that Turkey has consolidated its place in Russia’s “backyard” and that Russia is not the only power in the region..
“The ceasefire in the Caucasus has consolidated Turkey as a power in Russia’s backyard,” the Financial Times reported.
The text noted that a photo taken by the Azerbaijani Defense Ministry referred to his Turkish counterpart Hulusi Akar as “the Defense Minister of Azerbaijan’s closest ally”.
This is a “dizzying” statement for the former Soviet state, which previously considered Russia its most important partner, the article said, stressing that a 6-week conflict that has made great gains for Azerbaijan and its Turkish-backed army has re-adjusted Baku’s regional perspective.
“The extent of Azerbaijan’s success with Turkey’s support has reinforced the newfound influence of T in the Caucasus, which Russia sees as its geopolitical backyard,” he said, stressing that Russia, which sent peacekeepers, mediated the ceasefire.”the statement said.
“The geopolitical consequences are catastrophic not only for Armenia, but also for Russia,” said Ruslan Pukhov, director of the Russian Center for Strategy and Technology Analysis.
“The bitter truth is that Russia will send peacekeepers to the region,” Pukhov said, describing it as a “deceptive foreign policy victory.” Russia’s influence in the Trans-Caucasus region has declined sharply, while the prestige of a successful and ambitious Turkey, on the contrary, has increased incredibly.”
The ceasefire reaffirmed Russian President Vladimir Putin’s role as an indispensable regional arbiter, but it “cost Russia to recognize Turkey as a geopolitical actor in the Caucasus,” he said. Turkey’s support for Baku indicated that Moscow had upset the balance in a problem that it had kept in balance for 25 years.
Azerbaijan, with the support of Turkey, took a risk by calculating that Russia would not intervene militarily in the conflict, and was justified in this, “and thanks to its large regional achievements, Azerbaijan proved that Russia is not the only military force capable of redrawing de facto borders in the post-Soviet space.”the statement said.
“Turkey wants to be a global player and have a say in everything, “said another expert, Stanislav Pritchin, noting that Turkey’s actions in Nagorno-Karabakh are partly a response to Russia’s actions in the Middle East..
On the other hand, the BBC gave an article on its website by Alexander Gabuev of the think tank Carnegie Moscow Centre.
“As Russia and Turkey became the winner of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict,” the article said, ” for Turkey, the war in Karabakh is a showcase for Turkey’s growing role in the strategically important South Caucasus.”
In the article, which recorded that the Turkish army trained and equipped the victorious Azerbaijani army, it was noted that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan also openly expressed his diplomatic support for Azerbaijan.
“Russia’s diplomatic victory has come at a price. The war showed that Turkish influence was growing in the Caucasus and that Russia no longer seemed to be the only major power in the region.”