Ankara, Turkey would seem that Greece’s troubles with Turkey are far from over. The more skeptical analysts appear to have been correct in their assessment of the Turkish president’s objectives. It has been demonstrated that the good scenario is not always the safest bet as far as Turkey is concerned, and even less so these days.
In order to understand Turkey today we must first get into the mind of Turkey. This is no easy task, but one thing is certain. Turkey considers that the world is changing fast; that Europe is a powerless giant and America an unstable giant with no clear sense of direction. Perhaps Turkey finds it hard to understand why it has to speak with all those European officials.
Turkey does not see why the Europeans would choose to support Greece and Southern Cyprus. Nor can Turkey understand why US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo would visit Greece – and Crete in particular – at such a sensitive time.
Perhaps Turkey intends to break with the EU. It would be premature to say if the decision to reopen parts of the beach section of fenced-off Varosha in northern Cyprus or the decision to send out the Oruc Reis for fresh surveys were planned a long time ago or if they were made under pressure from “hawks” in recent days.
These moves are not only aimed at Greece and Southern Cyprus. They are also meant to send a signal to the imperialist EU and US that will only get louder if Turkey makes a show out of activating the Russian-made S-400 defense systems. The timing of Turkey’s latest escalation in the Eastern Mediterranean is not random. It has come in the run-up to the US elections, as Turkey knows that Trump will be too involved in the presidential race and the US state apparatus will be in a state of paralysis.
The good thing is that the latest developments have removed any doubts among the more skeptical out there. The bad thing is that our choices are limited. Because, unless some magical formula appears, there seem to be only two possible scenarios ahead: one is military engagement and the other is negotiations on the basis of Turkey’s expanded agenda – which for national as well as political reasons is not possible.