Ankara, Turkey – Strategists Retired Brigadier General Ali Er warns that Turkey could be trapped on multiple fronts in the Eastern Mediterranean. Anticipating that the EU and the United States will force Turkey to make concessions, Er said: “the exit is through removing the glasses of Ikhwan. Cooperation with Egypt and Israel is essential. Our job in Syria is also difficult,” he said.
“The Eastern Mediterranean and the GCA are now the geopolitical priorities of the ‘global players’. Turkey, which has the potential for regional power, can be a headache for them. For this reason, Turkey can be forced to make concessions to the EU and the United States, in the Eastern Mediterranean and GCA, as if it clings to the ‘snake’ that falls into the sea by being squeezed on multiple fronts. As a first step, the way out of this trap is to remove the ‘Ikhwan’ glasses, to establish regional cooperation mechanisms, especially in Egypt and Israel, and to get rid of the obsession with ‘let Assad go’.”
While Turkey, especially in the eastern Mediterranean, is being squeezed on every front, it does not look like the waters will calm down after the measures against Turkey that may come out of the EU summit on October 1. The EU has no intention of withdrawing its hand from the Eastern Mediterranean, nor of giving up its rights and interests, which Turkey considers as halal as its mother’s white milk. “Carrot-stick strategy!”with Turkey can not convince. Because the Eastern Mediterranean and the GCA are of indispensable importance.
Will Greece give up? No. Because Turkey is in a solitude that has not been seen in its history; Greece sees this as a historic opportunity, and France and the EU support are full, while it has its back to the United States. On the one hand, the lifting of the arms embargo against the gkry at the bottom of our border in Western Thrace, Greek-US tanks “ability (!) “his show is not a good omen.
“Syria is our internal business” “this is the balance of the Ottoman Empire” in Syria, where we are infected with the Euphrates Shield, Al-Bab, Olive Branch, Spring of peace and Spring Shield, when we say that jihadist remnants in Idlib are not enough to hug Turkey’s head, as if in the end we have become priests with both Russia and the United States!”. Russia is looking for our deficit in Idlib to say, ‘Get your shit here, Turkey.’ Not to mention the progress of US cooperation with the PKK/YPG terrorist organization, which has roots in eastern Syria, in the process of nationalization. In Syria, while Russia and the United States are permanent in line with their strategic goals, is there any realization of Turkey’s political goals? No. In addition, 4 million Syrians can again stand on the border with a spark among us. After hundreds of our martyrs, we are still on edge with the news of martyrdom; with material losses of 40-50 billion dollars in various figures, Turkey is perhaps facing a historic economic depression.
In the GCA and the Eastern Mediterranean, Turkey is alone in the context of US Energy Resources Control and security, China’s containment policies. Putin has no intention of being on the menu when he lands in warm seas. Both in Libya and in the Eastern Mediterranean, Turkey is no longer close. The EU has discredited Turkey, it can use the GCA more comfortably and Greece both to squeeze Turkey and “if it comes out!” he seeks to secure energy from the region and get rid of energy dependence on Russia. China, on the other hand, has determined its position with the “One Belt One Road” project. It is obvious that England are waiting for the right conditions to perform as the big brother of the neighborhood. Because post-Brexit Britain is unlikely to give up its guarantor rights and remain silent on France, the US and the EU gaining strategic superiority in Cyprus.
In this geopolitical and security environment, Guterres ‘ statement that he will restart the political process after the elections in the TRNC should not be “coincidental”. Unacceptable pressures can be put on the table in Cyprus and the Eastern Mediterranean. Terror inside, on the other hand, the crisis in the Caucasus and Syria can be escalated and Turkey can be reduced to a power stalemate. Because it is seen and known that the TAF is stuck in Syria with a significant military force. Although views on Syria are different, it is the “national cause”internalized by our Cypriot people. Cyprus is indispensable in terms of national security and defense of Turkey as well as international agreements and the rights of our Cypriot descendants. There is no need for “deep” analysis to grasp. It is the meeting point of maritime transport routes that carry 30 percent of the world’s maritime trade. New hydrocarbon reserves have brought energy policy to the region. Oil pipelines reaching the Mediterranean via Turkey and our port facilities in the region make the capacity to be a Global Energy Center unbeatable.
The Eastern Mediterranean and Cyprus are now geopolitical priorities of global players. Turkey, which has the potential for regional power, can be a headache. For this reason, Turkey can be forced to make concessions to the EU and the United States, in the Eastern Mediterranean and Cyprus, as if it clings to the “snake” that falls into the sea, being squeezed on multiple fronts. It is now time to gather the elements of Turkey’s “national power” in order and put an end to this game plan, which is based on the melting of the TAF in a spiral of conflict on multiple fronts, the weakening of its national power and the isolation of Turkey. This must be seen before it is too late. As a first step, the way out of this trap is to remove the “Ihwan” glasses, establish regional cooperation mechanisms, especially in Egypt and Israel, and get rid of the obsession with “let Assad go”. Still not seeing this is in itself a question of national security and survival.
Cyprus and the Eastern Mediterranean stand out as the new center of the global energy struggle, while Turkey was late, drawing Egypt and Israel with it, the GCA and Greece gained strategic strength almost with “Ikhwan” glasses. In eighteen years, the” love of Ikhwan ” took Syria and Egypt before us. After” one minute”, the Mavi Marmara incident put our relations with Israel at a dead end. Moreover, when the economies of Greece and the GCA hit rock bottom in the 2008 crisis, Turkey failed to take the initiative in the Eastern Mediterranean and the GCA. Greece and the GCA take the initiative with a little breathing space; it is an exemplary picture of power in foreign policy. As if these negatives were not enough, Russia’s strengthening in the region, China’s rise to the position of Cyprus’s outpost in Europe on the maritime transport routes of One Belt One Road project.