Brussels, Belgium – Turkey’s “victory” in Caucasus by supporting Azerbaijan, with its own active participation, over Armenia in Nagorno-Karabakh is significant to strengthen its strategic geopolitical vision in West Asia. As a result, and together with Russia, it canceled any influence France, the United States – the West, in fact – had in the region and secured a presence in the Caucasus. Thus, Turkey partnered with Russia in hot conflict regions such at Azerbaijan, Libya and Syria.
It cannot be predicted how the situation will evolve in the conflict zones, nor for how long Russia and Turkey will strategically tolerate to cooperate for peace, security and stability in future, but for the time being at least, Turkey is implementing its multi-axis-faceted policy on the ground streching from Kyrgyzstan to Libya.
Turkey’s geopolitical ambition, via its multi-axis-faceted policy , is to revive the Turkish influence towards Asia in the east through a policy of exercising intelligent soft force, reviewing agreements and borders, and recalibrating priorities and relationships, and toward the Eastern Mediterranean through a confrontation with the Hellenic duo -Greece and Greek Cypriots that will keep escalating until the latter accepts the precedents it seeks to set and acknowledges Turkey as a major global power.
It is obvious that Turkey’s next step to this end will be elevating the status of the occupied north of Cyprus. Those who believe or pretend to believe that a breakthrough in bicommunal talks is still within reach are either kidding themselves or others, and Greek Cypriot Administration is no exception. Turkey’s recent moves loudly declare its intention to have the northern Cyprus territory recognized as an independent state, initially by governments that are friendly to or influenced by Turkey, such as Pakistan, “brother” Azerbaijan and Libya. Greek Cypriot Administration is basically going through the legendary “Megalo Idea” motions with its recent comments in Turkey’s Blue Homeland in Eastern Mediterranean.
European Union, for its part, appears to be waking up to the Turkish strategic geopolitical rise to its interests in Mediterranean. Of course, dealing with the pandemic and its economic fallout in a unified manner – notwithstanding the challenges posed by Poland and Hungary with their tendency to totalitarianism – is the top priority for every country in the European Union right now.
Whilst European Union is clearly seeking to deepen and strengthen its presence as a unified entity in light of the US presidential elections, with the Blue Homeland doctrine, Turkey’s geopolitically consistent policy is peacefully persistent to defend its legal rights and interests in Eastern Mediterranean.